logo
Canada

Langley Township—Fraser Heights


MP elect: Tako van Popta (CPC)

Latest projection: May 11, 2025
CPC likely

Candidates | Langley Township—Fraser Heights


Liberal John Aldag
Conservative Tako van Popta*
NDP Holly Isaac
Green Debora Soutar
PPC Sepehr Haghighat

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.



Langley Township—Fraser Heights 52% ± 5% CPC 43% ± 5% LPC 4% ± 2% NDP CPC 2025 51.8% 338Canada vote projection | May 11, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Langley Township—Fraser Heights 99% CPC 1% LPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | May 11, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Langley Township—Fraser Heights

LPC 43% ± 5% CPC 52% ± 5% NDP 4% ± 2% Popular vote projection % | Langley Township—Fraser Heights 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP May 11, 2025 2025-01-12 CPC 59% LPC 18% NDP 17% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 CPC 60% LPC 19% NDP 16% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 CPC 59% LPC 19% NDP 16% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 CPC 58% LPC 20% NDP 16% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 CPC 57% LPC 23% NDP 15% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 CPC 54% LPC 26% NDP 15% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 CPC 53% LPC 28% NDP 14% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 CPC 48% LPC 32% NDP 14% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 CPC 48% LPC 32% NDP 14% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC 49% LPC 33% NDP 12% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC 48% LPC 38% NDP 9% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC 48% LPC 39% NDP 8% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC 48% LPC 39% NDP 8% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC 48% LPC 39% NDP 8% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC 47% LPC 40% NDP 8% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC 47% LPC 40% NDP 8% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 CPC 46% LPC 43% NDP 7% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC 46% LPC 43% NDP 7% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC 46% LPC 43% NDP 7% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 CPC 46% LPC 43% NDP 6% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 CPC 45% LPC 44% NDP 6% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 CPC 45% LPC 45% NDP 6% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 CPC 45% LPC 45% NDP 6% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 46% CPC 44% NDP 6% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 47% CPC 44% NDP 6% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 48% CPC 44% NDP 5% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 48% CPC 44% NDP 5% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 48% CPC 44% NDP 5% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 47% CPC 45% NDP 5% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 47% CPC 45% NDP 5% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 47% CPC 45% NDP 5% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 48% CPC 44% NDP 5% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 49% CPC 44% NDP 5% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 49% CPC 43% NDP 5% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 48% CPC 44% NDP 5% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 48% CPC 43% NDP 5% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 48% CPC 43% NDP 5% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 48% CPC 44% NDP 5% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC 48% CPC 44% NDP 5% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC 48% CPC 44% NDP 5% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC 49% CPC 44% NDP 5% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC 48% CPC 44% NDP 5% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC 48% CPC 44% NDP 5% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC 48% CPC 44% NDP 5% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC 46% CPC 44% NDP 7% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC 47% CPC 44% NDP 7% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC 47% CPC 44% NDP 6% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC 47% CPC 44% NDP 6% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC 47% CPC 44% NDP 6% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 47% CPC 44% NDP 6% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 CPC 46% LPC 46% NDP 6% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 CPC 52% LPC 43% NDP 4% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 CPC 52% LPC 43% NDP 4% 2025-05-11 Trudeau resigns Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Langley Township—Fraser Heights

LPC 1% CPC 99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP May 11, 2025 2025-01-12 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC 93% LPC 7% NDP <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC 91% LPC 9% NDP <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC 89% LPC 11% NDP <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC 89% LPC 11% NDP <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC 87% LPC 13% NDP <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC 84% LPC 16% NDP <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 CPC 66% LPC 34% NDP <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC 66% LPC 34% NDP <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC 64% LPC 36% NDP <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 CPC 65% LPC 35% NDP <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 CPC 57% LPC 43% NDP <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 CPC 53% LPC 47% NDP <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 CPC 56% LPC 44% NDP <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 61% CPC 39% NDP <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 68% CPC 32% NDP <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 75% CPC 25% NDP <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 73% CPC 27% NDP <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 70% CPC 30% NDP <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 64% CPC 36% NDP <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 58% CPC 42% NDP <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 61% CPC 39% NDP <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 68% CPC 32% NDP <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 77% CPC 23% NDP <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 78% CPC 22% NDP <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 74% CPC 26% NDP <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 76% CPC 24% NDP <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 75% CPC 25% NDP <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 73% CPC 27% NDP <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC 71% CPC 29% NDP <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC 72% CPC 28% NDP <1% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC 75% CPC 25% NDP <1% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC 72% CPC 28% NDP <1% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC 70% CPC 30% NDP <1% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC 70% CPC 30% NDP <1% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC 59% CPC 41% NDP <1% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC 64% CPC 36% NDP <1% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC 66% CPC 34% NDP <1% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC 66% CPC 34% NDP <1% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC 66% CPC 34% NDP <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 66% CPC 34% NDP <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 CPC 51% LPC 49% NDP <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-05-11 Trudeau resigns Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Langley Township—Fraser Heights



2019 2021 2025 Proj. CPC 52% ± 5% 45.8% 43.9% 51.8% LPC 43% ± 5% 27.5% 29.6% 42.5% NDP 4% ± 2% 17.0% 19.5% 4.0% PPC 1% ± 1% 1.9% 4.5% 1.0% GPC 1% ± 1% 7.1% 2.4% 0.8%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.
OSZAR »